Intro. [Recording date: February 11, 2025.]
Russ Roberts: Right now is February eleventh, 2025, and my visitor is historian and writer James Barr. I reached out to him after latest occasions in Syria–the fall of Assad–and I noticed I had no concept how Syria grew to become Syria, together with another issues I did not know concerning the Center East, in fact. It is a lengthy record.
However, after some research, I found a e book, A Line within the Sand: Britain, France, and the Wrestle that Formed the Center East, by our visitor, James Barr. The e book explores how the French-British rivalry formed the result of the world and the area within the aftermath of the autumn of the Ottoman Empire, which ultimately gave the world the nations of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Israel. And, that is our dialog for at this time.
James, welcome to EconTalk.
James Barr: Thanks for having me, Russ.
1:30
Russ Roberts: So, I need to return in time. We have been speaking a bit bit concerning the Center East from time to time within the final 16 months, since October seventh. However, we will take a bigger panoramic view at this time. And, we will return to the Ottoman Empire, which lots of you listening can have heard of. However, it ends on the finish of World Struggle I. The Ottomans ally themselves with Germany and lose. And so, the run-up to that, with the understanding that that may occur, many international locations have been fascinated with, ‘Effectively, what is going on to occur to the Ottoman Empire?’
And so, I believed we would begin with an obscure second in historical past, however it seems to have some significance, which is the Sykes-Picot, P-I-C-O-T, the Sykes-Picot Settlement. It is bought a hyphen within the center, or a splash. James, being British, will in all probability know which one it’s. However, it is the Sykes-Picot Settlement, which began the West’s ongoing involvement in a significant approach within the Center East. And, by Center East we imply rather more than Israel, the place focus is at this time, however on a much wider vary of the area. So, begin us off there if you happen to may.
James Barr: So, I feel earlier than we get to Sykes-Picot, you have been simply saying Russ concerning the Ottoman Empire. And, the Ottomans ruled–at the start of the First World Struggle, they nonetheless dominated the central Center East. So, by that I am pondering of Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Palestine, and happening the kind of edges of the Arabian Peninsula. So, that’s–from their capital in Istanbul, they managed the entire area of what was part of the Arab world.
They joined the Germans, as you mentioned, within the First World Struggle. And, the Germans satisfied the Ottoman Sultan to declare a Holy Struggle towards, nicely, Britain and France, however actually this was angled on the British. As a result of the British had important Muslim populations in Egypt, which they’d run since 1882, which they seized in 1882; and in addition in India. And, India was a extremely large a part of this story, although it is off the map, as a result of India was just about a very powerful British colony at the moment.
Russ Roberts: I ought to simply point out, I do not suppose I did, I apologize: The Ottoman Empire is Turkey. So, it is run by the Turks.
James Barr: It’s run by the Turks, however it’s a multi-ethnic Empire, and it nonetheless is. Though it has change into much more Turkish within the run-up to the First World Struggle, and there is the kind of–yeah, there is a form of Turkish ideology now. Which makes a number of the Arab topics of that Empire really feel more and more like second-class residents. And, I assume we’ll in all probability come again to that in a minute.
However so, the important thing factor is the First World Struggle begins. Famously, it was speculated to be over by Christmas 1914, and naturally it wasn’t. The entire warfare grew to become slowed down on each the Jap and the Western Fronts.
And, in Britain, individuals began to suppose, ‘Effectively, how will we win this warfare?’ And, there was a bunch of people that have been referred to as the Easterners who believed that one possibility was to assault the Ottoman Empire, as a result of the prevailing view by the start of the twentieth century was that the Ottomans have been the ‘Sick man of Europe.’ They’d already misplaced a chunk–they used to have an empire that prolonged nicely into the Balkans in Jap Europe, however they step by step misplaced these possessions over the earlier quarter of a century or so. And so, the British view, or the view amongst this faction contained in the British authorities, was that the Ottomans could be simple to knock out of the warfare.
So, the concept they got here up with was to assault Gallipoli, which is on the Dardanelles Peninsula. So, that is the very slim straits south of Constantinople, main from the Aegean into the Sea of Marmara in the direction of the Black Sea. And, that is about 150 miles from Constantinople, or Istanbul as I ought to name it.
So, the concept was: Seize the Ottomans by the throat, defeat them, after which march into Istanbul, after which that may be the Ottomans out of the warfare. And, that may allow the British and the Allies to open up a brand new entrance in Southern Europe and power the Germans to disperse their efforts. So, that was the intention of the factor.
However as you mentioned, in fact what that did–rather prematurely–was encourage a dialogue about what would occur to the Ottoman Empire as soon as this had occurred. And, making an allowance for this was assumed that it wasn’t going to be too tough to attain.
The British, in true British type, fashioned a committee which got down to attempt to examine choices: What may occur to the Ottoman Empire? And, there was a person referred to as Mark Sykes on this committee, and he was in his mid-30s. He had been elected a Member of Parliament for the east coast port of Hull in 1911, however he’d made his title already as an skilled on the Ottoman Empire. So, he’d written about it. He’d labored for the British Ambassador within the British Embassy in Istanbul earlier than the warfare. And, he’d written a few large, thick books on the topic and traveled fairly broadly. And, he was a member of the landed gentry. His father was Sir Tatton Sykes. He was a devotee famously of church structure, milk pudding, and holding his physique at a continuing temperature. And, Mark Sykes was his solely son–the solely son of this barely eccentric character.
And Sykes, actually by power of personality–he was a twinkly man–he was fairly convincing, and he took on quite a lot of the work of the committee as a result of he basically had time on his palms. And, it was he who ultimately grew to become the British negotiator of what grew to become the Sykes-Picot Settlement.
The rationale the Settlement comes about is that the French discover out about what the British are pondering of. Additionally they discover out that Britain had, throughout this time, had made a promise to the Arabs as nicely. Due to the jihad that I discussed, the British have been very nervous about the opportunity of a Holy Struggle. And, the best way that they determined they might blunt that was by encouraging the ruler of Mecca–the axis level of the Islamic world–to stand up towards the Ottomans.
So, the Ottomans managed Mecca–in concept, however probably not. They did not actually have a very tight maintain on it. And, they persuaded Sharif Hussein–who, he himself claimed he was a descendant of Muhammad–they persuaded him to stand up in 1916. However, to try this, they made him this big–rather vague–but they made him fairly an enormous promise.
Effectively, the French came upon about that promise by means of moderately nefarious methods. And, as soon as they found that, they then pressured the query of what would occur to the Ottoman Empire, as a result of they have been nervous about their very own pursuits.
And, we should always speak a bit about these pursuits. As a result of, the French had gradually–they had affect within the Ottoman Empire going approach, approach again, going proper again to kind of the 1500s the place the Ottoman Sultan on the time had acknowledged that they have been the representatives of Christians residing in what we consider because the Holy Land–or what Christians consider because the Holy Land–in Israel, Palestine now. And, the French had fairly important cultural affect in what we now consider as Lebanon and Syria, primarily by means of monastic organizations and establishments, which offered training.
And, a French education–if you may be taught by the monks of one in every of these monasteries–if you have been an Ottoman at the moment, that was fairly good. That was higher than an Ottoman state training. And so, if you happen to have been an aspiring Ottoman, kind of a center class Ottoman with aspirations, then you definitely would ship your kids off to a French college the place they be taught French and they might be taught within the French approach. So, the French had this kind of affect by means of that, primarily in what we now consider as Lebanon and Syria, they usually wished the British to acknowledge that place that they’d.
10:36
Russ Roberts: Simply to make clear: a reminder to listeners that at this level France and England are allies. They’ve these competing pursuits within the Center East, which we will discover at this time, however they’re desperately engaged in a warfare towards Germany and Austria-Hungary. They’ve Russia as an ally as well–that they’ll lose in 1917 with the Communist Revolution. However, these are two allies who have been already anticipating that there is going to be a carcass to carve up on the finish of this horrible warfare, World Struggle I.
And, the opposite factor I need to mention–Turkey was referred to as the Sick Man of Europe–but, the Ottoman Empire at this level is 400 or 500 years outdated. So, the area of the world that we’re speaking about that may be very acquainted to us at this time because the Center East–and once more to concentrate on the 4 foremost international locations which can be going to get mentioned, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq, and a bit Saudi Arabia as nicely, I assume alongside the way–they do not exist. They’re just–they are areas that Turkey is ruling in nominal phrases, however with, as you level out, not whole efficacy as a result of it is a big place and it is arduous to increase your police or navy capability throughout such a big space.
And, everyone is jockeying for affect on this space after the Struggle. Which would come with the Arab nationalists–which we will speak about, which I feel is your subsequent group–the Jews of what on the time is named Palestine, or an space referred to as Palestine–but the Holy Land is nearly as good a reputation as any, as you counsel. However Jews all over the world additionally care about it.
And, you even have the individuals living–the Arabs residing in these areas who do not precisely really feel connected to the Turks, to the Ottomans. So, that is the backdrop for this jockeying.
James Barr: Precisely. And, the Sykes-Picot Settlement cuts a line throughout all this. So, the French are available in and François Georges-Picot is their man. And he comes from a household of French imperialists. He hears about what the British are as much as and he does not just like the sound of it. And, he will get himself appointed the French negotiator. And he involves London within the autumn of 1915 and begins banging his fist on the desk, basically, and saying that the French will not settle for regardless of the British are as much as. The alliance is at stake, successfully. He manages to dramatize that extraordinarily successfully.
And, the British are nervous concerning the energy of the alliance, Russ, as a result of though as you say, they’re allies, they’re comparatively latest allies. I imply, a bit bit south of the place I dwell in London there’s a fort on the North Downs, which is the primary ring–line–of hills south of London, constructed within the Eighteen Nineties in case there was a French invasion. So, we’re not that far on from that, about 20 years after that fortress was constructed to withstand the French in case they invaded. So, there’s fairly important suspicions lurking under the floor.
And, François Georges-Picot performs on this very, very successfully, and the British understand they have to do a deal. And, Sykes is the person who goes to the highest ministers within the British authorities who’ve bought a complete load of different issues to fret about–most importantly the query of conscription. As a result of the warfare had been fought by volunteers up so far, however Britain was operating out of males they usually knew they have been going to have to start out calling individuals up, and that was going to be obligatory. So, they have been rather more nervous about that. This comes as a moderately unlucky interruption, actually. I feel most British politicians at the moment would have struggled to put Syria and Lebanon on a map themselves.
And, Sykes says, ‘I want to draw a line from the E of Acre to the final Ok in Kirkuk.’ And, he has a map. It is a sq. map, which he had helped draw again earlier than the warfare. And so, he proposes dividing the Center East alongside this diagonal line, and the French have been going to get many of the space to the north of it–either straight, they have been going to manage it, or they have been going to have some affect over it. And the British have been going to get the territory to the south.
And, underlying that’s this kind of British strategic idea that they need what they name a belt of English-controlled nation operating throughout the Center East from the Mediterranean Sea–the jap coast of the Mediterranean Sea–right by means of to the border with what’s now Iran, was then referred to as Persia. And, the intention of that was to maintain all comers–keep the French, hold the Russians, or whoever, the Germans–away from the approaches to India. That was the essential factor. So, it was defending the routes to India.
So, this strategic idea dates proper, proper again. It motivates what the British are doing by means of a lot of the nineteenth century with Russia.
16:07
Russ Roberts: And it contains, as you level out within the e book, once more a footnote of historical past that now’s principally forgotten however on the time was essential: the Suez Canal. So, they’re operating Egypt. They have the Suez Canal. Proper subsequent to the Suez Canal is the Sinai Desert, which isn’t precisely a buffer zone. It is a bodily buffer zone, however there’s no one there to interact with. After which out of the blue you are in Palestine and also you’re in Lebanon. And so, they have been very nervous, as you level out within the e book, that they might have an enemy of some form on the border of the Suez Canal, which is their lifeblood–and a lot of the world’s lifeblood–connecting India and elsewhere to Europe and the Mediterranean.
James Barr: Precisely. The canal, which was opened in 1869, had change into actually, actually vital, significantly to the British. It is owned by an Anglo-French consortium. However, yeah, it is completely important to the British. In order that’s all a part of the strategic idea.
The factor was, although, with Sykes-Picot, is that the 2 sides–the two men–could not agree about the way forward for what they referred to as Palestine at the moment. They each wished it. The British wished it for this strategic objective that you’ve got simply outlined. And, the French wished it extra for causes of status. It was extra concerning the spiritual significance of the world that they wished it, though that additionally was undoubtedly a think about British pondering. However, basically, it was a slightly–two barely totally different goals, mentalities at play right here.
Russ Roberts: However, I derailed you. You have been going to speak about Mecca and Sharif Hussein and his interactions with the British and the way that continues on into the time we’re speaking about.
James Barr: So, Sharif Hussein does stand up towards the Ottomans in 1916. However, the revolt that he requires is a little bit of a catastrophe as a result of the British hadn’t actually thought sufficient about how they have been going to help it. And so, inside just a few months it begins to peter out.
And, the person who goes in to attempt to repair it has change into very well-known. It is Lawrence of Arabia, as he is now known–Thomas Edward Lawrence. He was then in his 20s. He’d been an archeologist earlier than the warfare. He’d labored in Syria. And, he had a desk job in Cairo and was fed up with that. He was additionally in all probability moderately responsible, as a result of two of his brothers had been killed combating within the warfare on the Western Entrance. And there he was, drumming his fingers on a desk, charting Ottoman Military troop actions within the intelligence division in Cairo. So, he was itching to do one thing, and he principally carved himself a job to exit and have a look at the state of affairs on the bottom and to make suggestions.
However actually, what he wished to do is to seek out himself a correct job. Which he bought.
And so, he then spent the subsequent two years of the warfare making an attempt to show the Arab revolt into one thing. And he succeeds in that in an enormous approach, far past anybody’s expectations. The Arabs captured Aqaba, which is the port on the head of the Purple Sea reverse Suez, in July 1917. After which, a 12 months later, they’re up in what’s now northern Jordan/southern Syria; they usually play a job within the last offensive in that a part of the First World Struggle, within the Center East theater, the place proper on the finish of the warfare, the British, beneath Common Allenby–they’ve already captured Jerusalem on the finish of 1917–and then they advance to Damascus within the last weeks of the First World Struggle. And, Lawrence and the Arabs play an element in that.
And the explanation that Lawrence is so eager to be concerned in that’s as a result of this takes the Arabs into the territory that Sykes has conceded to François Georges-Picot. As a result of the undercurrent of all that is that Lawrence hates Sykes. He thinks he is a complete beginner. Yeah–he completely loathes him. He is solely encountered him, I feel, as soon as. However, at that time, Sykes informed him concerning the deal that he had struck. And, Lawrence is vehemently anti-French and thinks that it is a horrible deal on that stage. However he is additionally fairly pro-Arab. It will be important to not overstate this. Some individuals are inclined to as a result of he turns into extra pro-Arab as time goes on. Basically, he is a British imperialist; however he was additionally somebody who had labored with the Arabs and definitely was sympathetic to their ambitions.
And, I suppose possibly we should always get on to the Arab nationalists at this level. As a result of, since, kind of from the late nineteenth century onwards, there’s a creating nationalist movement–as there’s throughout every kind of locations: throughout Europe and naturally with the Zionists as one other nationalist motion. Arab nationalism had been rising within the Ottoman Empire, partly due to this rising Turkish ideology, held at a kind of authorities stage, but in addition a lot, a lot broader issues like simply easy literacy and issues like that.
Individuals were–Arabs were–becoming a lot, rather more conscious of their id and the truth that they’d a distinct id to their Turkish rulers.
And, there have been important teams that have been underground, actually, contained in the Ottoman Empire. So, Arab troopers, Arab officers throughout the Ottoman Empire form of drove this Arab consciousness. And, there have been secret societies throughout the Ottoman Military, probably not rooting for independence, however they wished extra autonomy they usually wished higher prospects for themselves. This kind of is rising earlier than the First World Struggle, and the Arab Revolt helps to provoke it. In order that by the tip of the primary World Struggle, there’s fairly a strong groundswell in favor of better Arab autonomy.
22:52
Russ Roberts: And, in fact, the British have a bit little bit of a battle. They make some guarantees by means of numerous means and numerous those who they are going to be supportive of this want for self-determination on the a part of the Arabs within the space. And, in my record of nations, I forgot about Jordan. That is one other one which’s going to return out of this stew after the Ottomans are defeated and the Turks are defeated on the finish of World Struggle I.
However, the Brits make guarantees to the Arabs that they’re going to be supportive of their want for self-determination. However, additionally they make guarantees to the Jews, which are–in 1917 there’s the Balfour Declaration, which is a bit ambiguous, however it suggests help for a Jewish homeland within the space that on the time is named Palestine. And, that is, in fact, one thing of a zero-sum recreation for what we name the Holy Land. There are many components of this area that can get Arab rulers, however this one little half, which is the place I dwell, is contested then and nonetheless contested now. However, we’ll get to that.
However, let’s get to the–World Struggle I ends. There’s the Paris Peace Convention at Versailles. We’re in roughly in 1919. What occurs at Versailles? Woodrow Wilson, in fact, goes to stay his oar in, and there is a groundswell of international–I’d name it anti-imperialism to some extent, however a sympathy for self-determination that Wilson is the champion of. And, how does that play out on this a part of the world?
James Barr: So, I imply, it is tough. In a approach, it does not play out as a result of the British and the French work–
Russ Roberts: Did not need it to–
James Barr: labored to undermine it. However, you might be completely proper. So, the People joined the warfare in 1917. Am I proper?
Russ Roberts: I feel it is 1918. I am undecided. Anyway, close to the tip.
James Barr: I believed it was earlier than that. My mind has out of the blue gone. However, the People joined the warfare. And, as they achieve this, Wilson makes this great–he actually assaults all of the imperial powers and kind of says, ‘A plague upon you all.’ And, the British and the French really feel very, very susceptible. And, we’ll come again to Balfour as a result of the Balfour Declaration rises straight out of this discomfort, if you happen to like, or no less than it is an try and get ‘spherical it.
However, on the finish of the warfare, you might have the Peace Convention, Lawrence’s kind of wartime comrade, Faisal, who’s Sharif Hussein of Mecca’s son–if you bear in mind again to Sharif. Sharif Hussein begins the revolt. Faisal is his son.
Lawrence identifies Faisal because the friendliest of Hussein’s sons, the person who’s probably to frankly do what he needs. And, Faisal brings a delegation to Paris, and Lawrence acts because the delegation’s interpreter. And, there’s all the time a little bit of a suspicion about how a lot he’s translating and the way a lot he was simply ad-libbing.
Russ Roberts: Yeah.
James Barr: And, Lawrence himself, due to this fact he attracts various suspicion from the French. As a result of, the French do not like–they do not just like the Arabs. The French imagine that Sykes-Picot has to face. In spite of everything, the British have made this promise; they’ve agreed that they’re going to divide the land. And, this space of what we might now name Syria and Lebanon, the French imagine that is theirs by proper. And, the British, in the meantime, have had kind of second ideas. So, the British, having been fairly pro-Arab, or no less than definitely prepared to entertain Arab aspirations, then begin fascinated with oil.
And, oil has probably not been an enormous issue in–certainly not within the Sykes-Picot settlement and probably not in strategic pondering through the warfare to date, I’d say. However, by the tip of the warfare, two issues are clear. Firstly, there’s Woodrow Wilson being anti-imperialist. There’s the truth that truly the People have equipped many of the oil that received the warfare. The oil has not come from the Center East at the moment. Actually, very famously, again within the 1870s, the oil that truly lit the lamps in, I feel, the Prophet’s tomb in Medina got here from Pennsylvania, which I all the time suppose is a pleasant reality. It offers you an concept of how issues have modified.
However, yeah: so the oil had come from America. And, the British authorities was nervous concerning the People’ angle in the direction of Britain as an imperial energy, as a result of Britain had no plans to surrender on its empire fairly but.
And so, these issues come into play. And so, Britain needs to take a way more direct management of Iraq. British troops had invaded Iraq during–at the very starting of the First World Struggle. And, proper on the finish of the warfare, having realized–they knew there was oil in northern Iraq, however having realized proper on the finish of the warfare that that could be oil that Britain wished to manage after the warfare, they superior and took over what’s now northern Iraq, the world round Mosul–a metropolis that we have heard about so much lately. British troops arrive in Mosul truly after the armistice has been declared. So, it is form of kind of after the whistle has gone there are nonetheless British troops advancing. And so they take that over.
And, the British, as a way to get the French to acknowledge this fait accompli, the British realized they’ll must honor Sykes-Picot. And so, as a substitute of Versailles acknowledging the aspirations of numerous totally different teams, however the Arabs for a few of them–Versailles was full of various teams with nationwide aspirations all hoping for some kind of recognition. However, what truly occurs is that the British and the French shut ranks. And, the British settle for that if they’ll get what they want–if they’ll get Palestine and in addition Iraq and create this kind of chain of states throughout the Center East which can be beneath British control–they’re going to have to simply accept French management over Lebanon and Syria as nicely. [More to come, 29:23]