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China Inc. Returns: What’s Driving HKEX’s Boom

China Inc. Returns: What’s Driving HKEX’s Boom
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Ever because the financial reform and opening of Chinese language Mainland markets within the Eighties, Chinese language Mainland enterprises have lengthy desired to lift funds by way of fairness and bond issuance to overseas traders. Even amidst the height of onshore home development, Chinese language Mainland companies have been actively engaged in offshore listings to entry overseas capital swimming pools backed by laborious (fully-convertible) currencies, such because the US greenback.

This submit builds on my earlier evaluation of Hong Kong SAR market’s IPO resurgence. On this piece, I study the broader forces behind the phenomenon, together with how shifting laws, US–China tensions, and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Restricted (HKEX) reforms are reshaping international capital flows and channeling Chinese language Mainland listings again to Hong Kong SAR.

Up till 2025, greater than 300 Mainland Chinese language firms had listed abroad and raised a whole lot of billions of US {dollars} in whole. In 2020, throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, which marked the final peak of IPOs, firms listed on the HKEX raised round $50 billion from IPO proceeds, pushed primarily by secondary listings within the Hong Kong market from already US-listed Chinese language Mainland tech giants like JD and NetEase.

From Wall Avenue to Central: How China’s Capital Flows Are Rebalancing

For many years, international IPO exercise has been dominated by the NYSE and NASDAQ, exchanges that collectively account for over $50 trillion in market capitalization. Ranked #1 and #2, these US exchanges surpass the entire market cap of the remainder of the highest 10 inventory exchanges on the earth. Certainly, for many years, the NYSE and Nasdaq have dominated the worldwide IPO market. The USA possesses a mixture of structural, financial, and institutional benefits that entice international firms, together with these from the Chinese language Mainland, which have persistently demonstrated a robust urge for food for US listings.

The HKEX, regardless of being outranked by the US market in each issuance quantity and proceeds, stays among the many main inventory exchanges globally, regularly rating among the many prime three exchanges worldwide when it comes to IPO proceeds, and is undoubtedly the regional gateway for the Better China market.

Chinese language Mainland firms in search of offshore capital have sometimes confronted a binary selection: The USA (NYSE/Nasdaq) or Hong Kong SAR (HKEX). The US market was usually most well-liked, particularly for tech and development firms, because of its international visibility, valuation premiums, and deep liquidity.

Chinese language Mainland companies not often take into account main inventory exchanges in different markets, resembling the UK, Continental Europe, India, or Japan, due to a mixture of components, together with an absence of investor familiarity, valuation disadvantages, cultural obstacles, and political components.

Supply: SEC, HKEX, LSEG. Notes: 1. The US consists of each the NYSE and the Nasdaq; 2. Proceeds embrace solely IPO issuances, excluding switch and introduction.

For international traders, this rebalancing means new entry factors to Chinese language Mainland development — however by a market extra tightly linked to home coverage and liquidity cycles.

Regulation, Threat, and Realignment

Chinese language Mainland’s path to abroad capital has basically modified over the previous decade, formed by deepening US–China tensions and new layers of regulation. Chinese language Mainland firms are actually going through extra stringent necessities to entry US capital markets. Consequently, the variety of new listings from Chinese language  Mainland firms on US exchanges has virtually halved from 19 in 1H23 to 11 in 1H25.

The passage of the Holding International Corporations Accountable Act (HFCAA)[1] in america in 2020 was a landmark, which forces necessary delisting from the US market if a overseas firm fails to adjust to the PCAOB’s inspection of its audit papers.

Chinese language  Mainland nationwide safety legal guidelines prohibit the sharing of sure monetary and operational info with overseas entities, nonetheless. As an example, Chinese language Mainland Information Safety Legislation[2] imposes strict controls on cross-border knowledge transfers, which immediately collide with US necessities.

The mixed influence of regulatory obstacles, delisting waves, and geopolitical uncertainty has led to a structural realignment in international capital markets. As well as, the rising reputation of personal market capital elevating in america additional diminished the attraction for public listings.

World PE funds raised $424.6 billion in 1H2025, already greater than the entire in 2024. So far, solely a minor portion of delistings of Chinese language Mainland companies have been pushed by PE acquisition in comparison with the pressured delistings. Nonetheless, better flexibility, confidentiality, fewer disclosure necessities, and strategic management render the non-public market an rising engaging various.

This shift isn’t non permanent. It’s a structural recalibration of how firms listing, how traders consider, and the place capital flows. As US–China decoupling deepens, HKEX is positioning itself as the brand new gateway for Chinese language Mainland’s international ambitions.

Traders should adapt because the investable universe of Chinese language Mainland equities shifts from ADRs to Hong Kong SAR listings, reshaping liquidity, governance, and valuation dynamics.

CompanyIndustryDelisting DateMain ReasonVoluntary or forcedLuckin CoffeeFood and BeverageJune 2020Fraud Scandal; $864M misplaced by U.S. investorsForcedChina Telecom, China Cell, China UnicomTelecomJan 2021Executive order citing their ties to the Chinese language militaryForcedCNOOC Ltd.Oil and gasOct 2021National safety concernsForcedDidiRide-hailingJune 2022Data safety concernsForcedChinDataData ServiceDec 2023Strategic acquisition by a PE firmVoluntary

Desk: Notable delistings of Chinese language Corps within the US exchanges.

Supply: SEC, NYSE, Nasdaq.

The Gateway Reinvented: HKEX’s Structural Benefit

HKEX’s current reforms construct on a long-held benefit: proximity and coverage alignment that make it the pure vacation spot for Chinese language Mainland listings.

The Inventory Join was developed and launched by HKEX, Chinese language exchanges, and ChinaClear in 2014 to construct a mutual market entry system between Chinese language Mainland and Hong Kong SAR, permitting Chinese language Mainland traders to commerce Hong Kong SAR shares by way of native brokers, largely boosting liquidity and valuation potential and sustaining home protection for Hong Kong SAR-listed Chinese language Mainland companies.

These adjustments make HKEX not solely the itemizing venue of selection for issuers, however an more and more vital conduit for traders in search of diversified publicity to Chinese language Mainland’s innovation economic system.

For a very long time, Chinese language Mainland companies most well-liked U.S. exchanges for dual-class share buildings that permit them to retain management whereas elevating capital; in 2018, HKEX launched weighted voting rights for progressive firms, providing equal flexibility and eliminating regulatory arbitrage.

As well as, HKEX’s sectoral deal with biotech, tech, and inexperienced power companies strategically aligns with the Chinese language Mainland authorities’s initiatives, leaving apart the cultural and geographic proximity to the Chinese language Mainland Collectively, these components, mixed with the current structural reforms, have reworked HKEX right into a venue that’s now the de facto selection for Chinese language Mainland companies in search of worldwide growth.

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The New Face of Chinese language IPOs: Classes from CATL

The surge in IPOs on the HKEX on this 12 months’s first half is the fruits of the regulatory panorama, structural reform, and geopolitical sentiments — a brand new chapter in how Chinese language Mainland companies entry worldwide capital and develop.

Probably the most outstanding itemizing on this rising HK IPO panorama is CATL. On Might 20, Up to date Amperex Know-how Co. Ltd. (CATL), the Chinese language Mainland battery large, accomplished the most important IPO globally of the 12 months, elevating $5.2 billion on HKEX. The IPO was oversubscribed, and CATL exercised the overallotment choice because of sturdy demand. Virtually all of the proceeds have been used for his or her European growth, together with an EUR8.2 billion battery plant in Hungary.

CATL’s A+H itemizing technique paid off. Its shares priced at a premium on the HKEX — a sign of sturdy worldwide investor confidence. This IPO is a transparent show of the dynamics of the brand new chapter of HKEX IPOs, with a Chinese language Mainland tech large efficiently elevating a big quantity by an A+H itemizing, using the structural reform and sectoral focus benefits of HKEX to gas its worldwide growth.

Together with CATL, HKEX held 4 of the world’s 10 largest IPOs on this 12 months’s first half. The $14 billion of proceeds marked a 723% YoY development, outperforming all different international exchanges. Furthermore, HKEX has 207 energetic itemizing candidates within the pipeline for 2H 2025, suggesting sturdy momentum and market optimism. In 1H 2025, HKEX reported income and different revenue of HKD14.08 billion, a 33% YoY development, and a internet revenue of HKD8.52 billion, a 39% YoY development. As a necessary market liquidity measurement, common every day turnover reached HKD240.2 billion, surging 118% YoY.

Past the Growth: Focus Threat and What Comes Subsequent

But behind the record-breaking IPO surge lies a extra sophisticated actuality, one which exposes Hong Kong SAR’s rising dependence on the Chinese language Mainland. The overall market cap of HKEX at the moment consists of round 80% from Chinese language Mainland firms. This stage of focus brings important publicity to the Chinese language Mainland’s financial cycles, regulatory shifts, and coverage regimes. Moreover, there’s the rising integration of Chinese language Mainland governance into Hong Kong SAR’s institutional framework.

Furthermore, many IPOs have been priced aggressively, making them weak to their post-IPO efficiency. The Grasp Seng index rose greater than 20% YTD, however many regard this development as being pushed by short-term liquidity inflows relatively than sustainable financial fundamentals. The momentum largely is determined by continued regulatory help, investor confidence, and secure macroeconomic circumstances.

For portfolio managers, the takeaway is obvious: Hong Kong SAR’s resurgence expands alternative, however heightens correlation threat. Differentiating cyclical restoration from structural realignment shall be key.

References

Bloomberg New Financial system: High China Economist Says Beijing Simply Desires Respect – Bloomberg

The Way forward for Investing: 2024/25 Version—Overview | Franklin Templeton Institutional

PCAOB Secures Full Entry to Examine, Examine Chinese language Companies for First Time in Historical past | PCAOB

Chinese language Corporations Listed on Main U.S. Inventory Exchanges

China battery large CATL is increasing globally: Right here’s why it issues

Hong Kong’s ECM Panorama in H1 2025

Hong Kong’s IPO Growth Roars Again: Contained in the $14 Billion First-Half Surge and What’s Driving It

Personal fairness fundraising rises in H1 2025, extra capital hinges on IPO exits | S&P World

HKEX Income and Revenue Surge Over 30% in H1, Inventory Soars 50% Yr-to-Date – Yuan Traits

[1] Holding International Corporations Accountable Act: The HFCAA was enacted on Dec 18, 2020, as Public Legislation 116-222, amending the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, SEC.gov | Holding International Corporations Accountable Act.

[2] Information Safety Legislation of PRC: Enacted on June 10, 2021, mandates a categorised and categorized knowledge safety system on “vital” and “core” knowledge, and triggers authorized legal responsibility for any risk to “nationwide safety,” Information Safety Legislation of the Folks’s Republic of China.



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