International markets skilled one other risky session on Monday, 23 June, swinging sharply from early risk-off sentiment to a late-session risk-on rally as recent developments unfolded across the Israel-Iran battle.
Israel-Iran Ceasefire Put an Finish to the 12-Day Conflict
Iran’s retaliatory strike on a US airbase in Qatar, following the US bombing of Iranian nuclear enrichment services over the weekend, was broadly perceived as a symbolic and restrained transfer. Crucially, it left the Strait of Hormuz untouched, easing fears of disruptions to Center Japanese oil provide.
Including to the shift in sentiment, US President Trump introduced through social media {that a} ceasefire deal between Israel and Iran had been brokered. Markets interpreted this as a sign that each international locations could also be nearing a pause of their 12-day navy confrontation.
Bearish Reversal in WTI Crude Sparks a Threat-On Sentiment Soar
noticed a dramatic intraday reversal. After surging over 4% in early Asian buying and selling, it plunged by -9.3% by the shut of the US session, ending at US$68.36—under its 13 June pre-conflict shut of US$73.08. This sharp sell-off mirrored a major unwinding of the geopolitical threat premium and a discount in stagflation considerations, fueling a constructive risk-on suggestions loop into equities.
Each the and rebounded sharply after retesting key near-term assist ranges at 5,920 and 16,500, respectively. They closed with beneficial properties of 1% and 1.1%, and in in the present day’s Asian mid-session, their E-mini futures on and prolonged beneficial properties to 0.7% and 1.0%, respectively.
Asian markets mirrored the upbeat tone: Japan’s rose 1.24%, Hong Kong’s climbed 1.8%, and Singapore’s Straits Occasions Index gained 0.4%.
Excessive-Beta Aussie and Kiwi {Dollars} Stage a Bullish U-Flip
In the meantime, the weakened, with the falling -0.4% after being rejected at its 50-day shifting common of 99.50. It closed at 98.35, erasing beneficial properties from the earlier 4 periods and persevering with a broader bearish pattern in place since mid-February.
Excessive-beta currencies such because the and rebounded strongly. In in the present day’s Asian commerce, NZD/USD and AUD/USD rose 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively, whereas the appreciated 0.6% towards the greenback.
Gold (XAU/USD) Underperformed as It Broke Under its 20-Day Transferring Common
In distinction, Gold () underperformed amid renewed threat urge for food, falling -1.1% and breaching its 20-day shifting common assist at US$3,350 for the primary time since 21 Might. The yellow steel is now eyeing the subsequent assist zone at US$3,320/3,200, which aligns with the 50-day shifting common inside its medium-term uptrend.
Financial Knowledge Releases
Fig 1: Key knowledge for in the present day’s Asia mid-session (Supply: MarketPulse)
Chart of the Day – Potential Bullish Breakout in AUD/USD
Fig 2: AUD/USD minor & medium-term developments as of 24 June 2025 (Supply: TradingView)
Since its 24 April 2024 minor swing low of 0.6350, the AUD/USD has traded in a sideways vary configuration prior to now eight weeks, and a number of other technical parts recommend an imminent bullish breakout.
The value actions of the AUD/USD staged a minor bullish reversal on Monday, 23 June, after a retest near its vary assist of 0.6360/6350.
As well as, the 4-hour RSI momentum indicator has simply staged a bullish breakout above a parallel descending resistance line above its 50 stage and has not reached its overbought area (above 70).
These observations recommend an emergence of bullish momentum situations. Watch the 0.6455/6440 key short-term pivotal assist, and a clearance above 0.6545 (8-week vary resistance) sees the subsequent intermediate resistances coming in at 0.6600 and 0.6690 (see Fig 2).
Alternatively, failure to carry above 0.6440 negates the bullish tone for an additional spherical of uneven corrective decline to float downwards to retest 0.6407, and the vary assist of 0.6360/6350.
Authentic Put up
