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Understanding Theory: Labor Market Edition

Understanding Theory: Labor Market Edition
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Not too long ago, the Trump Administration introduced that H-1B functions would face a brand new $100,000 payment (along with the already present charges, to not point out authorized charges).  The H-1B visa permits companies to rent overseas people with a school diploma for his or her positions.  Corporations enter a lottery, and in the event that they win the lottery, they will rent a overseas skilled.  The H-1B can ultimately be transformed right into a inexperienced card.  Since universities are exempt from the lottery, it’s a approach for overseas college students to attempt to keep within the US after their diploma.  A lot of this coverage change is up within the air, so this put up isn’t in regards to the change per se, however relatively the change prompted some ideas.

The Trump administration argues that this payment is important to forestall American companies from hiring overseas employees cheaply, on the expense of American employees.  Given the way in which it’s structured, it’s unlikely the H-1B visa has that impact. However, for the sake of this put up, we’ll take the argument as given.

Will the payment result in extra hiring of American employees?  It’s tempting to suppose so.  In spite of everything, if the value of overseas employees rises, then fewer overseas employees might be employed.  That’s simply the regulation of demand at work: as worth goes up, amount demanded goes down.

However there’s an implicit assumption within the Trump administration’s argument: that home employees are the next-best possibility for companies in comparison with overseas employees.  That isn’t essentially the case.  The regulation of demand tells us that companies will alter their hiring, nevertheless it doesn’t inform us alongside what margins companies will alter.  Maybe they may fill their roles with American employees; in spite of everything, the price of home employees is now comparatively decrease in comparison with overseas employees.  However the agency might additionally decide to vary its operations, and even relocate exterior the nation.

The regulation of demand tells us that as the value of one thing goes up, amount demanded falls (all else held equal).  Financial concept tells us that as relative costs change, folks will alter their habits.  However concept doesn’t, certainly, it can’t inform us how they may alter.  That may depend upon the related alternate options they face on the juncture of alternative.  What the related alternate options are depends upon the actual circumstances of time and place they discover themselves in and the targets of companies and people.

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