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From Trump dividend to Trump risk, Musk faces new reality

From Trump dividend to Trump risk, Musk faces new reality
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Proper after Donald Trump’s victory within the US presidential election, many thought Elon Musk, who had supported Trump, would profit from the brand new administration. There was additionally the discuss of battle of curiosity when Musk assumed cost on the Division of Authorities Effectivity (DOGE). Musk contributed at the very least $119 million to a pro-Trump spending group, Reuters reported primarily based on federal data, and tirelessly touted the previous president on the essential late stage of his marketing campaign. Musk’s politicking displays a wider technique to insulate his firms from regulation or enforcement and enhance their authorities help, in keeping with Reuters interviews final yr in November with six Musk-company sources accustomed to his political and enterprise dealings and two authorities officers who’ve in depth interactions with Musk companies. The sources offered a uncommon view of the strategizing inside Musk’s companies to take full benefit of his deepening relationship with Trump. Musk’s enterprise pursuits – from Tesla electrical automobiles to SpaceX rockets and Neuralink mind chips – rely closely on authorities regulation, subsidies or coverage.

Nonetheless, a number of months later, as an alternative of reaping a Trump dividend, Musk has run right into a Trump danger as its chief enterprise, Tesla, has begun to really feel the warmth of the Trump administration’s insurance policies and stances.

Retaliatory tariff warmth is scaring Tesla

Tesla has warned that it and different main American exporters are uncovered to retaliatory tariffs that might be leveled in response to Trump’s aggressive use of tariffs. The Tesla feedback mirror these of many US companies involved by Trump’s tariffs, however is notable as a result of it’s from Tesla.The feedback have been made in a letter to the US Commerce Consultant’s Workplace and out there on the workplace’s site dated Tuesday, Reuters reported. It’s amongst a whole bunch despatched by firms to the workplace about US commerce coverage. It isn’t clear who at Tesla wrote the letter, which is unsigned however is on an organization letterhead. Tesla didn’t instantly reply to a Reuter’s request for a remark. Tesla says you will need to be certain that the Trump administration’s efforts to handle commerce points “don’t inadvertently hurt US firms.”

It says it’s desperate to keep away from retaliation of the sort it confronted in prior commerce disputes, which resulted in elevated tariffs on electrical automobiles imported into international locations topic to U.S. tariffs. Trump is contemplating imposing important tariffs on automobiles and elements made world wide in early April.

Dwell Occasions

Tesla warns that even with aggressive localization of the availability chain, “sure elements and elements are tough or unimaginable to supply inside america.”The automaker provides that firms will “profit from a phased method that allows them to organize accordingly and guarantee acceptable provide chain and compliance measures are taken.””As a U.S. producer and exporter, Tesla encourages USTR to think about the downstream impacts of sure proposed actions taken to handle unfair commerce practices,” the EV maker says.

Can Tesla survive the Trump storm?

Tesla is going through penalties of its CEO’s arduous sup[port for Trump and his radical role in Trump administration to cut waste and lay off staff. Tesla CEO Elon Musk appeared on the verge of tears during a recent Fox Business interview, visibly distressed as he discussed the mounting challenges facing his companies. Speaking with Larry Kudlow, Musk admitted that managing multiple businesses had become “extremely difficult”, as Tesla’s stock plunged 15.4%, marking its biggest drop since September 2020. Meanwhile, X (formerly Twitter) continued to struggle with technical and operational setbacks. The global slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) demand has further intensified Tesla’s troubles.

A wave of protests against Tesla, some peaceful and others involving acts of vandalism and arson, recently erupted across the US and beyond. Tesla showrooms, charging stations, and vehicles were targeted in multiple locations. On March 9, four Tesla Cybertrucks were damaged during a fire at a Seattle facility.

Beyond U.S. borders, 12 Tesla cars were torched in Toulouse, France, on March 2, and a Berlin-area Tesla factory was set on fire on March 5, with a far-left group claiming responsibility. Meanwhile, a grassroots initiative called “Tesla Takedown”, spearheaded by actor Alex Winter, has organized peaceful protests encouraging people to abandon Tesla products and stock. Musk has indicated without evidence that billionaires like George Soros and Reid Hoffman are behind the protests.

A recent Morgan Stanley investor survey has sent shockwaves through the market. A staggering 85% of respondents believe Elon Musk’s political activities are damaging Tesla’s business fundamentals. This sentiment, captured in a survey conducted on March 11, 2025, among 245 investors, reflects growing unease about the company’s future .

One of the biggest concerns highlighted in the survey is the decline in Tesla’s vehicle deliveries. The numbers tell a troubling story: 59% of respondents foresee a year-over-year drop in Tesla’s 2025 deliveries; and a mere 19% anticipate any growth; 21% predict a double-digit decline of over 10% y/y. This is a stark contrast to the optimism seen in January 2025, when investor sentiment was far more bullish. Now, concerns over slowing demand, market saturation, and internal challenges dominate the conversation.

Wedbush technology analyst Dan Ives, who has been Tesla’s biggest cheerleader for years, has now sounded the alarm over CEO Musk’s increasing forays into politics and other business interests appear to be hurting the company, according to a report.

In a letter to Tesla shareholders, Ives, who has had an “outperform” rating on the stock for years, cautioned that investors’ patience is “wearing very thin,” Fortune reported. His warning comes as Musk’s focus seems split, with his attention more on the Trump administration’s DOGE, while Tesla struggles with protests, vandalized stores, and customers selling their cars, according to Fortune. Ives, normally bullish on Tesla’s prospects, drew a darker picture in his most recent analysis. He highlighted that Musk has not been as visible at Tesla’s core operations in a difficult period for the company. Ives said, “A moment of truth is ahead for Musk and Tesla, and how Musk handles the next few months will be critical,” as quoted by Fortune.

Tesla shareholders want Musk to balance his time and show that he is Tesla’s CEO, Fortune reported. Ives also mentioned that, “This is not the time to just play in the DOGE sandbox. He needs to step up,” as quoted in the report.

Tesla investors cheered as Trump came to the defense of Musk’s carmaker by buying a Tesla car and showcasing five Teslas lined up in the White House driveway. The Tesla stock ended up closing up nearly 4% after one of the worst single day sell-offs in Tesla’s history a day earlier.

But experts warn the unusual presidential backing of a private company could backfire. “Tesla is becoming a political symbol of Trump and DOGE, and that is a bad thing for the brand,” Ives told AP. “You think it’s helping, but it’s actually hurting.”

Tesla shares have plummeted 45% in 2025 and on Monday tumbled more than 15% to $222.15, the lowest since late October, reflecting newfound pessimism as sales crater around the globe.

(With inputs from agencies)



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Tags: DividendDOGEDonald TrumpElon MuskFacesMuskRealityRisktariffTeslaTrumptrump dividend
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