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Bharti Airtel Q4 Preview: PAT may jump up to 226% YoY on robust ARPU. Up to 35% revenue uptick seen

Bharti Airtel Q4 Preview: PAT may jump up to 226% YoY on robust ARPU. Up to 35% revenue uptick seen
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Telecom main Bharti Airtel will announce its earnings on Tuesday, Might 13, the place the corporate is anticipated to report a strong year-on-year progress in its Q4FY25 revenue after tax (PAT) aided by a wholesome uptick in its Common Income Per Person (ARPU).

The web revenue rise is seen in a variety of 90%-226% in line with estimates by 4 brokerages, which is between Rs 4,110 crore and Rs 6,759 crore. The income is more likely to rise by 23%-35%, falling within the vary of Rs 46,200 crore to Rs 50,588 crore.

The estimates of ICICI Securities, Morgan Stanley, Nomura and Mirae Asset Sharekhan have been taken into consideration.

The very best PAT and income estimates have come from ICICI Securities, whereas Morgan Stanley has the bottom web revenue figures and Nomura has essentially the most conservative topline estimates.

The corporate is anticipated to report a double-digit YoY uptick in ARPU.

Reside Occasions

Right here’s what brokerages beneficial:

ICICI Securities

Bharti Airtel is anticipated to report a consolidated PAT bounce of 226% YoY in Q4FY25 to Rs 6,759 crore. It could fall by 54% on a QoQ foundation. The corporate’s income is anticipated to develop by 35% YoY to Rs 50,588 crore, additionally marking a 12% improve on a sequential foundation.Firm’s Earnings Earlier than Curiosity, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA) could bounce 51% YoY and 19% QoQ to Rs 29,142 crore whereas the EBITDA margin expanded to 57.6%, up by 610 foundation factors YoY and 310 foundation factors QoQ, reflecting robust value controls and better operational effectivity.

ICICI Securities has a ‘purchase’ score on Bharti Airtel for a value goal of Rs 1,925.

Our Q4FY25 estimates level to cellular companies income dip for Bharti Airtel, down 0.1% QoQ, this brokerage mentioned.

Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley is anticipated to report a PAT bounce of 90% YoY, whereas a decline of 72% sequentially to Rs 4,110 crore. Income is anticipated to rise 26% YoY and three.4% QoQ to Rs 48,469 crore, supported by wholesome subscriber additions.

The EBITDA could stand at Rs 27,244 crore, reflecting a 37% improve over the earlier yr, although it dipped 6.2% sequentially.

The corporate’s subscriber base expanded to 361 million, up 2.6% YoY and 1.4% QoQ. Common income per consumer (ARPU) rose to Rs 246, up 18% yearly and marginally larger by Rs 0.3 sequentially, indicating secure monetisation tendencies.

“For the core India enterprise (excluding passive infrastructure), we anticipate income progress of 0.2% QoQ and 16% YoY. That is partially impacted by a decline within the enterprise enterprise as the corporate is exiting low-margin companies, which might have impacted numbers for a part of the quarter,” Morgan mentioned in a preview word.

“We anticipate core India EBITDA to enhance by 1% QoQ and eight.6% YoY. We anticipate larger dividend payout in F25 vs F24, outlook for capex numbers in F26 to be decrease than F25 and reaffirmation of balancing capital allocation in the direction of decreasing debt and paying again to shareholders,” this brokerage mentioned.

Nomura

Bharti Airtel is anticipated to report a web revenue of Rs 5,300 crore for the quarter below evaluation, marking a strong 154% YoY progress, although it may decline 64% on a sequential foundation.

Nomura pegs income at Rs 46,200 crore, reflecting a 23% YoY improve and a modest 2% QoQ rise. EBITDA could are available in at Rs 25,300 crore, rising by 31% YoY and three% over the earlier quarter.

EBITDA margin may enhance to 54.8%, in comparison with 54.5% in Q3FY25 and 51.5% in Q4FY24, indicating enhanced operational effectivity.

The ARPU could come round Rs 247, rising 18% YoY and 1% QoQ, supported by higher buyer realisation.

Additionally learn: Pharma shares in focus as Trump pronounces lower in prescription drug costs by 59%

Sharekhan

The corporate is more likely to report web gross sales of Rs 47,528 crore for the quarter, registering a 26% YoY progress and a 5.3% improve sequentially.

The underside line is more likely to rise sharply to Rs 5,800 crore, leaping 97% YoY and 23% QoQ.

Working revenue margin (OPM) could enhance considerably to 55.5%, increasing by 400 foundation factors in comparison with Q4FY24 and 100 foundation factors over Q3FY25, indicating enhanced effectivity and profitability.

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, solutions, views and opinions given by the specialists are their very own. These don’t symbolize the views of Financial Instances)



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